
Fantasy Football ADP Risers & Fallers: Jordan Mason Rises, Chuba Hubbard Falls
Matt LaMarca profiles a trio of risers and a trio of fallers in fantasy football ADP over the last seven days of drafting.
We’ve almost made it to the start of NFL training camp. Rookies will report as early as July 17th, which is another step on the calendar towards meaningful NFL football. The preseason will follow shortly, with the regular season kicking off in less than two months. After what always feels like a long offseason, we are so close to having football back.
Of course, fantasy football drafting is already in full swing. Best ball leagues on Underdog have been cranking for months, with some huge prize pools available. The flagship Best Ball Mania will hand out $2M for first place, so people are unsurprisingly excited to get in on the action.
With drafts taking place basically around the clock, there has been plenty of movement in the fantasy market. This series has already touched on a bunch of players with changing price tags, and we’ll dive into some of this week’s biggest fantasy football ADP risers and fallers down below. Let’s dive in.
Risers In Fantasy Football ADP
MarShawn Lloyd | GB | RB (+7.3 spots)
The Packers’ backfield is a very intriguing spot to target in drafts this offseason. If Josh Jacobs is healthy and available, he’ll likely be looking at another 300+ opportunities this season. Of course, “healthy and available” is the key part of that sentence. Jacobs could face discipline from the NFL this upcoming season, and his heavy workload over the past seven seasons gives him at least some injury risk.
After Jacobs, the Packers also lost last year’s No. 2 running back Emanuel Wilson. It leaves Chris Brooks and Lloyd as the next men up should Jacobs miss some time.
Lloyd hasn’t been much of a factor throughout his NFL career. He has appeared in just one NFL game through his first two seasons, and he’s tallied just 15 yards on six professional carries.
However, Lloyd was a third-round selection in the 2024 NFL Draft, and he has plenty of talent as a runner. In his draft class, he ranked second among running backs in yards per carry, eighth in yards after contact per carry and first in percentage of yards on runs of 15+ yards. In other words, he’s an explosive runner, and NFL Draft guru Daniel Jeremiah labeled him the best RB in that class.
It’s possible he finally gets his opportunity to shine in 2026-27, and he’s currently coming off the board just inside the top 200 picks. It’s hard to find too much downside at that figure.
Jordan Mason | MIN | RB (+5.3 spots)
Mason is significantly more expensive than Lloyd, but he enters the year with a set-in-stone role in the Vikings’ offense. He split the workload with Aaron Jones in the backfield last season, and he could have an even larger share of the pie in 2026-27.
Jones remains an effective pass-catcher out of the backfield, but Mason is clearly the superior runner at this point. He averaged 4.8 yards per carry last season, compared to just 4.2 for Jones. Mason is at 5.1 yards per carry for his career, and he graded out significantly better than his teammate in the advanced metrics as well.
Mason is someone I advocated “reaching” for, and his price tag is starting to creep up. He still stands out as a clear value, and don’t be surprised if his price continues to rise until the start of Week 1.
Chig Okonkwo | WAS | TE (+3.1 spots)
The Commanders have been linked to Brandon Aiyuk for most of the offseason, but it seems as though that dream is officially dead. Maybe they’ll still upgrade their pass-catching corps before the start of the year, but it’s possible they’re comfortable with the group they’ve already amassed.
Outside of Terry McLaurin, the team lacks a proven option. Luke McCaffrey, Antonio Williams and a few others will compete for the No. 2 receiver job, but Okonkwo could be their most prolific supplement to McLaurin. The uber-athletic tight end has flashed previously in Tennessee, but the lack of passing production has limited his overall output.
Okonkwo has drawn some praise so far this offseason, and Commanders’ insider John Keim reports that the team’s tight ends will be more involved than they were last year. It creates a path for Okonkwo to flirt with low-end TE1 status, and he’s coming off the board 16th at the position.
Fallers In Fantasy Football ADP
Brandon Aiyuk | SF | WR (-18.9 spots)
The question at this point is not when to draft Aiyuk, but whether you should consider him at all. It’s looking less and less likely that any team is going to be willing to deal with his antics. The most recent development is Aiyuk reportedly “begging” Jayden Daniels to call him back after the two had a social media feud last week.
I have personally been off the Aiyuk train all offseason. Even if he did land in DC, there’s no guarantee he’s anywhere close to the player he was during his prime. He’s yet to show he’s recovered from the knee injury that sidelined him for all of last season, and his price tag continues to absolutely crater.
Malik Nabers | NYG | WR (-2.9 spots)
The offseason news for Nabers continues to sound pretty bleak. Giants’ insider Jordan Ranaan recently said on a podcast that Nabers might not be back until October. The Giants’ bye week is in Week 8 this season, and it’s possible that we don’t see him before then.
That’s definitely a pessimistic view of the situation, but how Nabers will look following major knee surgery remains to be seen. Add in some question marks about the Giants’ passing offense in general—Jaxson Dart averaged just 215.3 passing yards with 15 passing touchdowns in his 12 starts—and it’s not surprising that Nabers’ ADP continues to drop. It’s possible that he becomes a buy-low candidate in the future, but I think we’ve still got some room to drop before the bottom truly hits.
Chuba Hubbard | CAR | RB (-2.7 spots)
On paper, Hubbard was a winner this offseason. The Panthers did not re-sign Rico Dowdle, who split the workload with Hubbard last season. Dowdle landed with the Steelers instead, which opened the door for a bigger workload for Hubbard in 2026-27.
However, Hubbard will still have to deal with some competition. Jonathon Brooks was the first running back selected in the 2024 NFL Draft, and he appears ready to return to action after missing all of last year recovering from injury. It was the second torn ACL in the same knee for Brooks, who dealt with the same injury in his final collegiate season.
The drumbeat is growing that Brooks is poised to take over as the team’s starting RB. NFL Network’s Cameron Wolfe reported that the Panthers have expectations of Brooks becoming the “lead back,” which would obviously be a big detriment to Hubbard’s fantasy value. Brooks still has to prove that he’s healthy and capable of handling that workload, but it makes Hubbard a bit risky at an ADP of 76.6.
Players Mentioned in this Article
Published Updated




